---
title: "NPR: 5 Exit Poll Numbers to Watch on Election Day"
url: https://burnaze.com/article/6c6be731-e1f3-4877-b14c-93ff944b3604
source: "1851 Franchise"
original_url: https://1851franchise.com/npr-5-exit-poll-numbers-to-watch-on-election-day-7464
category: "General"
published: 2016-11-08T18:13:01.000Z
modified: 2026-11-01T02:34:51.576Z
image: https://newimage.1851franchise.com/cdn-cgi/image/quality=85,format=webp,width=1280,height=720/story/featureImage/9bb196b508ff630d58e7981e7d7f41b93766.jpg
---

# NPR: 5 Exit Poll Numbers to Watch on Election Day

**TL;DR:** The US presidential election shows a divided electorate, with five demographic groups - college-educated whites, non-college-educated whites, Hispanics, split-ticket voters, and white Republican evangelicals - exhibiting distinct voting patterns. According to a recent NPR article, these groups are heavily polarized, with some showing strong support for either Donald Trump or Hillary Clinton.

*originally published in 1851 Franchise on 2016-11-08. [Read the original](https://1851franchise.com/npr-5-exit-poll-numbers-to-watch-on-election-day-7464).*

## Story

Breaking out the electorate into demographics can help lay out the issues on why certain people dislike or like each candidate. It can also provide shifts in the population, which significantly alter results in this election and the next. According to a recent NPR article, these five groups show how divided the U.S. is and how the two presidential candidates have continued to polarize the country.

**College-Educated Whites vs. Non-College-Educated Whites**

This year’s split between college- and non-college educated whites may be the largest it has ever been according to polling data from 1992 to 2016. Whites without a college degree are heavily supporting Donald Trump while whites with a college degree are closely divided.

**Hispanics**

The Hispanic portion of the electorate continues to grow every year, and currently sits at 18 percent. This is a top problem for Republicans as Hispanics typically favor Democratic candidates and this year’s candidate has alienated this group. The Hispanic vote for the Democratic candidate, Hillary Clinton, this year may prove to be the largest margin since 1976.

**Split-Ticket Voters**

With two very disliked candidates in this year’s election, it makes everyone wonder if the split ticket voter will reappear. From the 2012 election, 92 percent of people who voted Republican voted for Romney and 93 percent of those who voted Democratic voted for Obama. This year may be different.

**Gender Divide**

Typically, women tend to vote more often for Democratic candidates. This year with a female candidate on the ballot, it may be an even larger gender gap. It is worth noting that there are multiple subgroups among women that don’t necessarily all agree on one candidate.

**White Republican Evangelicals**

One of the most reliable voting groups is white evangelicals that vote Republican. As they continue to shift farther right each year, the support for Republican candidates reamins strong. While this may be the case in past elections, this year has been different from any other election and may be the year when this group’s Republican strength wanes ever so slightly.

## Entities

- 1851 Franchise (publication)
- General (sector)
- US (location)
- Donald Trump (person)
- presidential election (topic)
- election day (topic)
- demographic groups (topic)
- voter polarization (topic)
- hispanic vote (topic)

---
Originally reported by 1851 Franchise (https://1851franchise.com/npr-5-exit-poll-numbers-to-watch-on-election-day-7464). Summarized by Burnaze (https://burnaze.com/article/6c6be731-e1f3-4877-b14c-93ff944b3604).